Week 1 College Football Betting Guide Featuring Vikki Blows ~ Beat By The Nudge- No, You're Dumb!

9/5/09

Week 1 College Football Betting Guide Featuring Vikki Blows

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Week 1 Kicks off with sexy-time Nudgette Vikki Blows

Patented Nudge Betting System (tm): Five Star plays are for dough, everything else is for show. So without further ado, here we go!

Thursday nights plays killed me. Right off the bat three of my picks went down in flames. Who knew that Oregon’s offensive line was so Goddamn offensive. They looked like crap, and the outburst at the end of the game by LaGarrette Blount was caused by his frustration that their running game never stood a chance. Could this be an end to the spread offense infection that is sweeping college football? Boise’s defensive line looked like they were able to contain the spread option read, which is the bedrock of that entire offensive philosophy. Rich Rod better hope Western Michigan’s D isn't looking at that game film right now.

I’ll start out this weeks picks with the lower star plays:

(2 Star)San Jose State getting 33 at home against USC- The jury is still out on Matt Barkley. By Sunday morning we’ll be better able to tell if he can swim with the big boys at such a young age. What we do know is a couple of things 1) USC, cause they’re starting a true freshman for the first time are going to be taking a lot of plays out of their playbook for the gameplan. They’ll rely on their stable of running backs and Iwould be surprised if Barkley attempts more than fifteen passes. 2) San Jose State Quarterback Kyle Reed is a heck of a good player. He could have chose to go anywhere in the country. Dick Twomey’s entire offense is geared towards Reed’s athletic ability. And 3) Despite the great offensive line of USC, they got a couple of starters banged up for this game, and I really don’t think Pete “The God” Carroll is going to risk further injury to many players on this sure win game. I would look for the offensive line starters to play maybe the first half, then the second and third string will be in there. This combined with the emphasis on the running game leads to USC only winning the game by 24, 28 tops. Loss

(2 Star) Central Michigan getting 13 and a nudge at Arizona- Am I missing something here. Is this spread large cause Zona plays in a BCS conference and the Chippawas are in the lowly MAC. That’s all I can think of here. CMU returns their juggernaut offensive personnel and Zona without Mike Thomas to get the ball to is going to be a pretty inept offense. The loss of playmakers is really going to hurt Zona, and CMU is going to show that they can run with the big Ol’ Conference boys. Loss

(3 Star) Texas giving 42 to La. Monroe- A few years ago, I saw that Texas was playing against North Texas in the first game of the season. The spread was 44 and that was when North Texas had a legitimate running attack. I threw my loot on North Texas and watched in agony as Mack and his crew ran up the score on the lifeless opponent. Lesson learned. Mack Brown has no compunction against running up the score on a lesser opposition so early in the season. Two things stand out in particularly, they’re gonna try their best to get Colt his Heisman. For this to happen, he needs gaudy numbers, and this is one of those games where you get it. Second, Texas’s second string is incredible. If they get the shot at playing time, they’re gonna wipe the floor with Monroe. Loss by 3 points

(4 Star) Bama giving 6 and a nudge to VaTech- I like VaTech this year, unfortunately they play Bama right off the bat. This game is in primetime, and if you get a few extra sawbucks from the earlier plays, call up Vinny and put some extra ducats on this one. This is all about Bama’s defense and how their going to try and keep Tyrod Taylor in the pocket. They’ll stifle the Hokies rushing attack and make Tyrod’s arm the only weapon to try and win this one out. Bama will play downhill running football, with a crippling defense. Don’t forget about Javiar Arenas. He’ll show the Hokies that they’re not the only ones who take special teams seriously. Cover

(4 Star) Tennessee giving 30 to the Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky- This Volunteer team has had about all they can take. It’s been a Helluva long off season for them. I wouldn’t be surprised if their D rips someone’s head off in the first quarter. UT D is going to hit hard this year. The Hilltoppers are in way over their head in D-1 football and Lane Kiffin has something to prove. I wouldn’t be surprised if he has his offense running at full steam and they put up 60 points in this game. Kiffin would much rather take some heat for running up the score on a lower opponent than the other crap he’s been taking heat for. He knows the Vol’s faithful have to have faith in him, and the way to do that is to thoroughly run up the score. They’ll play sloppy, but Hardesty and Brown are going to have a field day. This one is over in the first ten minutes. Cover

(4 Star) Mizzoo getting 6 and a nudge to Illinois is St. Louis- I love Zook, that’s the name of the first porno I ever produce. The guy can flat out recruit, but his coaching style leaves a lot to be desired. Everyone has kind of forgot that they still know how to play football at Mizzoo. You really haven’t heard too much about them in this off season. New starting QB Blaine Gabbert is going to be on everyone’s watch list after this game is over. Take Mizzoo and the points, this one’s going to be close, real close. Mizzo is for real, Illini…not so much. Cover

(4 Star) Oklahoma Steam Rollers giving 22 to the Mormons- Can you say bludgeoning. This game has been a five star play for me since the spread came out. I downplayed it to a four star cause my other two five stars are locks, and this one was worrying me a little. For those of you that have been following my picks for years, you know if there is ever even the slightest bit of doubt on a five star play, I downgrade it. It almost always comes back to bite me in the ass cause it always (usually) covers, but my rules are set in stone. The Mormons have a good team this year, but they are thoroughly outmatched in every category when compared to the steamrollers. Look for Super soph WR Ryan Broyles to have a big, big game. And don’t turn off the TV after the game is over. You’ll get to see Sammy Baugh Bradford’s after the game interview where he talks about teamwork and how great his teammates are, and that he really isn’t thinking about becoming the next Archie Griffen, and that he loves his MOM, and apple pie tastes really good, and he’s just enjoying his college experience, and he’s really happy he’s not playing on Sundays, and he loves Coach Stoops and……………………………….. Loss, no one can predict a Heisman QB going down

And here they are, the FIVE STAR Plays. This week both of the plays are for games to go under the over/under.

(5 Star) Under 56 Stanford/Washington St.- This is going to get messy. Not only is The Tree breaking in a new QB in Andrew Luck, but Stanford HC Jim Harbaugh is going to lean on the pass a little bit more this year. Washington State is lifeless. Look for a lot of field goal opportunities and both teams not taking too many chances against inter-conference opponents. Lots of turnovers. Stanford will start covering spreads, but this game is going to be a low scoring affair. Cover

(5 Star) Under 53 and a nudge LSU/Washington- At first glance, this game features two teams with dynamic quarterbacks in Jordan Jefferson and Jake Locker. You might think it’s going to be a scoring fest. But at closer glance you’ll see that both teams are breaking in new offensive schemes. LSU is going to be getting away from their traditional smash run style that’s been so good to them and the Hat in the past and go towards trying to utilize Jefferson’s running ability in the spread. Cue up Auburn’s first game last year when they tried to instill Tony Franklin “The Master of the Spread” offense last year. By the second half, Jefferson will be taking snaps directly from the center and they’ll be calling the six running plays to Scott that they still practiced using the I-Formation. And the Lushkies are still going to be Lushkies this year, Locker, Sarkisian and all. If Washington had Bill Walsh coaching them and Joe Montana under center, they would still lose. Why? Cause winning football games requires, requires offensive and defensive line play. And the Lushkies did nothing to address those concerns from last year. Low, Low score in this one. Beat By The Nudge. We lost our first five star play by one half a point. If you made a play on this game, it was the most frustrating thing in the entire world. LSU's run defense sucks. Thank you. I actually thought with new defensive coordinator John Chavis, the defense would be good. Beat By The Nudge (which means losing a bet by a half point, which is the worst, absolute worst thing that could ever happen, thus the name of this site!) Witty huh?

That’s it. I gotta go break out my Urban Meyer popcorn popper out of mothballs and plant it on my stove, boy it cooks up those kernals real good.

See ya sports fans, your pal Nudgie.

Totals for the year: 2 Star 0-3, 3 Star 0-1, 4 Star 3-3, and Five Star 1-1